2016 Oscar Predictions (All Categories)

2016 Oscar predictions, last updated January 7th (FINAL PREDICTIONS)

We’re a week away from nomination morning and these are my FINAL predictions, thought I reserve the right to make changes in Best Director if the DGA announces a major shakeup.

Click on links for full analysis, this is just a master list. Green text indicates the predicted nominee is a new entry since my last update, while Red text indicates something dropped out since my last update. Predicted nominees are ordered on how confident I feel in each.

Film with Multiple Predicted Nominations: The Martian (8), Bridge of Spies (8), The Revenant (8), Mad Max: Fury Road (8), Spotlight (7), The Big Short (4), Brooklyn (4), Ex Machina (4), Carol (4), The Hateful Eight (4), The Danish Girl (4), Star Wars: The Force Awakens (4), Steve Jobs (3), Inside Out (3), Anomalisa (2)

Best Picture

for full Best Picture analysis, click here.

  1. Spotlight
  2. The Big Short
  3. Mad Max: Fury Road
  4. The Martian
  5. The Revenant
  6. Bridge of Spies
  7. Straight Outta Compton
  8. Brooklyn
  9. Ex Machina

Dropped out: Room, The Hateful Eight, Carol

Best Director

for full Best Director analysis, click here.

  1. George Miller (Mad Max: Fury Road)
  2. Steven Spielberg (Bridge of Spies)
  3. Ridley Scott (The Martian)
  4. Alejandro G. Inarritu (The Revenant)
  5. Tom McCarthy (Spotlight)

Dropped out: Todd Haynes (Carol)

Best Actor

for full Best Actor analysis, click here.

  1. Leonardo Dicaprio (The Revenant)
  2. Eddie Redmayne (The Danish Girl)
  3. Matt Damon (The Martian)
  4. Michael Fassbender (Steve Jobs)
  5. Bryan Cranston (Trumbo) 

Dropped out: Johnny Depp (Black Mass)

Best Actress

for full Best Actress analysis, click here.

  1. Brie Larson (Room)
  2. Saoirse Ronan (Brooklyn)
  3. Cate Blanchett (Carol)
  4. Jennifer Lawrence (Joy)
  5. Maggie Smith (The Lady in the Van)

Best Supporting Actor

for full Best Supporting Actor analysis, click here.

  1. Mark Rylance (Bridge of Spies)
  2. Sylvester Stallone (Creed)
  3. Christian Bale (The Big Short)
  4. Idris Elba (Beasts of No Nation)
  5. Mark Ruffalo (Spotlight)

Dropped out: Michael Keaton (Spotlight)

Best Supporting Actress

for full Best Supporting Actress analysis, click here.

  1. Kate Winslet (Steve Jobs)
  2. Jennifer Jason Leigh (The Hateful Eight)
  3. Rooney Mara (Carol)
  4. Rachel McAdams (Spotlight)
  5. Alicia Vikander (Ex Machina)

Dropped out: Alicia Vikander (The Danish Girl)

Best Adapted Screenplay

for full best Best Adapted Screenplay analysis, click here.

  1. Adam McKay & Charles Randolph (The Big Short)
  2. Nick Hornby (Brooklyn)
  3. Aaron Sorkin (Steve Jobs)
  4. Charlie Kaufman (Anomalisa)
  5. Drew Goddard (The Martian)

Dropped out: Emma Donahue (Room), Phyllis Nagy (Carol)

Best Original Screenplay

for full Best Original Screenplay analysis, click here.

  1. Thomas McCarthy & Josh Singer (Spotlight)
  2. Quentin Tarantino (The Hateful Eight)
  3. Bob Petersen & Pete Docter (Inside Out)
  4. Matt Charman & The Coen Bros (Bridge of Spies)
  5. Alex Garland (Ex Machina)

Best Cinematography

for full Best Cinematography analysis, click here.

  1. Emmanuel Lubezki (The Revenant)
  2. Roger Deakins (Sicario)
  3. John Seale (Mad Max: Fury Road)
  4. Janusz Kaminski (Bridge of Spies)
  5. Robert Richardson (The Hateful Eight)

Dropped out: Dariusz Wolski (The Martian)

Best Film Editing

for full Best Film Editing analysis, click here.

  1. Hank Corwin (The Big Short)
  2. Tom McArdle (Spotlight) 
  3. Margaret Sixel (Mad Max: Fury Road)
  4. Pietro Scalia (The Martian)
  5. Michael Kahn (Bridge of Spies)

Technical Categories

for full analysis on all technical categories, click here.

Best Production Design

  1. Bridge of Spies
  2. Crimson Peak
  3. The Danish Girl
  4. Carol
  5. Mad Max: Fury Road

Dropped out: Brooklyn, The Hateful Eight

Best Costume Design

  1. Brooklyn
  2. Cinderella
  3. Carol
  4. The Danish Girl
  5. The Revenant

Dropped out: Crimson Peak

Best Makeup & Hairstyling

  1. Black Mass
  2. Mad Max: Fury Road
  3. The Revenant

Dropped out: The 100-Year-Old Man Who Climbed Out the Window and Disappeared

Best Sound Mixing

  1. Mad Max: Fury Road
  2. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
  3. The Revenant
  4. The Martian
  5. In the Heart of the Sea

Dropped out: Sicario

Best Sound Editing

  1. Mad Max: Fury Road
  2. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
  3. The Revenant
  4. The Martian
  5. Inside Out

Dropped out: In the Heart of the Sea

Best Visual Effects

  1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
  2. The Martian
  3. Ex Machina
  4. Jurassic World
  5. The Walk

Best Original Score

  1. Ennio Morricone (The Hateful Eight)
  2. John Williams (Star Wars: The Force Awakens)
  3. Thomas Newman (Bridge of Spies)
  4. Howard Shore (Spotlight)
  5. Alexandre Desplat (The Danish Girl)

Dropped out: Carter Burwell (Carol)



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